Sunday, October 23, 2011

DePaul’s Depth Problem: Fact or Fiction?

With the recent season ending injuries to Tony Freeland and Montray Clemons along with Macari Brooks being ruled ineligible, DePaul’s depth has become a serious concern. The current argument on some of the message boards is that Coach Purnell will not be able to fully implement his high-pressure offensive and defensive system. Under the El took a look at some of Purnell’s Clemson teams to better understand DePaul’s depth problem.

Assumptions:
  • Clemson’s 2007-08, 2008-09, and 2009-10 seasons were used for comparison. These seasons were selected because the argument is in regards to Purnell not being able to “run his full system”. Since this is a subjective matter, I selected Purnell’s most successful seasons that led to NCAA appearances. Therefore, it is safe to say he was able to “run his full system” during these seasons.
  • A player was only considered part of the rotation if they played in at least half the season’s games (16 games).
Data:

Clemson 2007-08:   
MPG
Player(s)
25-30+
4
20-25
1
15-20
2
10-15
2
5-10
1
0-5
1
Total Rotation
11

Clemson 2008-09:

MPG
Player(s)
25-30+
4
20-25
1
15-20
1
10-15
3
5-10
0
0-5
1
Total Rotation
10











Clemson 2009-10:
MPG
Player(s)
25-30+
3
20-25
3
15-20
1
10-15
2
5-10
2
0-5
0
Total Rotation
11











Clemson Tigers Stats - 2009-10 (21-11)

Pos.
Class
Hgt.
Wgt.
GP
MIN
PPG
RPG
APG
SPG
BPG
TPG
FG%
FT%
3P%
1
PF
SR
6' 07"
240
32
30.8
15.2
8.4
2.5
1.3
1.4
1.9
52%
59%
27%
2
PG
JR
6' 02"
175
30
28.8
11.4
2.7
3.1
1.5
0.3
2.7
45%
78%
39%
3
PG
SO
5' 09"
170
32
26.3
9.2
2.2
2.4
1.7
0
1.8
40%
80%
38%
4
SG
SO
6' 05"
220
32
24.9
8.7
4.2
2.2
1.2
0.4
2.1
40%
74%
28%
5
SF
SR
6' 06"
215
32
23.9
7
2.7
1.4
1.3
0.2
1.5
36%
69%
38%
6
PF/C
JR
6' 08"
220
31
20.3
7.2
4.7
0.6
0.8
1.7
1.2
63%
59%
0%
7
SG
FR
6' 08"
190
32
14.8
4.8
1.9
0.8
0.4
0.2
1.2
37%
73%
37%
8
PF
FR
6' 08"
235
32
11.6
4.5
2.9
0.3
0.4
0.1
0.9
56%
53%
0%
9
F
FR
6' 09"
225
32
11.2
3.3
2.7
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.8
37%
64%
17%
10
PF
SO
6' 06"
205
21
5.8
1.9
1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.6
0.567
0.5
0.25
11
SG
FR
6' 04"
200
23
5.1
1.4
0.6
0.3
0.3
0
0.3
38%
43%
20%
12
C
SO
7' 02"
245
12
3.4
1.3
1.4
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.4
47%
50%
0%
13
C
SR
6' 11"
260
5
3.4
1
0.2
0
0
0
0
100%
50%
0%
14
PG
JR
5' 09"
160
10
1.8
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0
0.2
40%
0%
0%
15
SF
JR
6' 06"
205
2
1.5
3
0
0
0
0
0
100%
0%
100%

Totals



32
--
73
37
14
9
5
15
45%
66%
34%
Clemson Tigers Stats - 2008-09 (23-9)

Player
Class
Hgt.
Wgt.
GP
MIN
PPG
RPG
APG
SPG
BPG
TPG
FG%
FT%
3P%
1
SG/SF
SR
6' 02"
215
32
31
14.2
6
1.6
1.7
0.4
1.4
45%
67%
39%
2
PF
JR
6' 07"
240
32
30.7
15.3
9.7
1.7
1.5
2
1.8
57%
71%
41%
3
PG
SO
6' 02"
150
32
25.9
8.7
2.4
3.8
1.5
0.4
2.5
41%
67%
27%
4
G
SO
6' 02"
190
32
25.8
13.2
1.7
1.8
0.9
0
1.8
38%
85%
39%
5
PF
SR
6' 09"
220
32
21.7
7.9
5.1
0.7
0.6
1
1.9
58%
56%
0%
6
SF
JR
6' 06"
205
32
17.6
4.9
2.2
1.3
0.6
0.2
1.4
38%
76%
37%
7
PG
FR
5' 09"
160
32
14.9
4.4
0.8
2.1
1
0
0.7
38%
63%
39%
8
PF/C
SO
6' 08"
220
32
14.6
4.7
3.2
0.5
0.4
1.4
0.8
64%
65%
0%
9
SG
FR
6' 05"
205
32
13.2
3.6
1.8
1.1
0.9
0.2
1.1
45%
67%
36%
10
C
FR
7' 02"
230
9
4.9
2
2.1
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
40%
40%
0%
11
C
JR
6' 11"
260
6
4.5
0.3
1
0.5
0.2
0
1
20%
0%
0%
12
PF
FR
6' 06"
200
16
4.2
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.533
0.667
0
13
SF
SR
6' 04"
215
7
2
0.4
1.1
0.3
0.3
0
0.3
20%
50%
0%
14
SG/SF
SO
6' 06"
205
4
1.8
0
0.3
0.3
0
0
0.3
0%
0%
0%
15
PG
SO
5' 09"
160
7
1.6
0.3
0.4
0
0.1
0.1
0.3
50%
0%
0%

Totals



32
--
78
37
15
9
6
14
46%
69%
37%
Clemson Tigers Stats - 2007-08 (24-10)

Player
Class
Hgt.
Wgt.
GP
MIN
PPG
RPG
APG
SPG
BPG
TPG
FG%
FT%
3P%
1
G
SR
6'3"
200
34
34.2
11.4
4.1
3.9
1.9
0.2
1.8
47%
46%
38%
2
SG/SF
JR
6'5"
215
34
30.5
14.7
6.3
1.8
1.9
0.5
1.1
44%
68%
40%
3
PF
SR
6'9"
230
29
27.3
10.7
6.8
2
1.7
0.7
2.4
48%
55%
20%
4
PF
SO
6'7"
240
34
26.6
11
7.3
1.5
0.6
1.9
2
56%
57%
33%
5
PG
FR
6'2"
170
32
22.8
8.8
1.6
3
0.9
0.3
2.8
41%
76%
28%
6
SG
FR
6'2"
185
34
18.2
10.5
1.8
1.2
0.6
0
1.2
38%
85%
40%
7
SG/SF
SO
6'6"
205
34
15.8
4.8
2.1
1.1
0.9
0.4
1
41%
73%
34%
8
C/PF
JR
6'9"
220
34
14.5
4.4
2.4
0.4
0.5
0.8
1.1
57%
50%
0%
9
F
SR
6'5"
215
28
10.9
3.1
2.3
0.6
0.9
0.3
0.8
43%
67%
0%
10
PF/C
FR
6'8"
215
30
8.3
2.1
2.2
0.4
0.3
0.7
0.5
0.463
0.375
0
11
F
SR
6'5"
200
16
3.6
0.8
0.4
0.4
0.1
0
0.3
42%
0%
33%
12
C
SO
6'11"
260
9
3.4
0.4
1.1
0.1
0
0.1
0.8
29%
0%
0%
13
PF
JR
6'7"
220
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0%
0%
0%
14
PG
FR
5'9"
160
8
1.9
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0
0.3
0%
50%
0%
15
SF
SR
6'4"
215
11
1.1
0.5
0
0
0
0.1
0
67%
50%
0%
16
SG/SF
FR
6'6"
200
7
0.7
0
0.3
0.1
0
0
0.3
0%
0%
0%

Totals



34
--
79
38
16
10
5
15
46%
62%
37%


What this means for the 2010-11 DePaul team:

DePaul’s current situation has led to only 10 scholarship players being eligible and healthy. The players highlighted in red in Clemson’s previous teams indicate what DePaul is missing without an 11th rotation player. What DePaul is missing won’t be exactly production, but rather a body to provide relief to the major rotation players.

What needs to happen:
The current 10 players must stay healthy. If DePaul stays healthy, which is a big “if” given the recent news, Purnell has ran his system with only 10 players before and been successful.

Freshman Jamee Crockett, Charles McKinney, and Derrell Robertson along with transfers Donnavan Kirk and Worrel Clahar need to contribute. Below is an estimated breakdown of minutes for the upcoming season. A rotation with freshman as medium to minor contributors would not be unprecedented for Purnell given his previous Clemson teams also had freshman playing similar minutes.

Estimated Rotation:
MPG
Player(s)
25-30+
Cleveland Melvin
Brandon Young
Jeremiah Kelly
20-25
Krys Faber
Donnavan Kirk
Moses Morgan
15-20
Jamee Crockett
Charles McKinney
10-15
Worrel Clahar
Derrell Robertson
5-10

0-5

Total Rotation
10

Unlike Clemson’s 2007-08, 2008-09, and 2009-10 it will be a stretch to believe this team can make the NCAA tournament. This team can though implement Purnell’s system if it stays healthy and freshman and transfers can contribute. One thing that was constant during the BIG EAST media day was Purnell stating that the team could not afford any additional injuries. He is right; DePaul can’t afford any injuries, as 10 players is the minimum that Purnell prefers to run his system. If another injury does occur, it will require Purnell to scale back his system to allow the players some ability to rest. While 13 healthy scholarships bodies are always preferred, all 13 would never have been utilized. Purnell will be forced to adjust appropriately, and I believe he will.

The only people that see this as good news are Edwind McGhee and Joe Belcaster, considering they’ll be needed for any blowout games in the nonconference schedule. Otherwise, say a prayer, cast a wish, and don’t break in mirrors because DePaul needs to stay healthy to see any glimpse of Purnell’s full system. 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Another season with Faber as the big man in the middle? God help us